{
  "_format": "scrutica-export-v1",
  "metadata": {
    "title": "IRGC missile range: exposure summary",
    "exported_at": "2026-11-11T16:55:44.351Z",
    "page_url": "https://scrutica.com/scenarios/iran-threat",
    "methodology_url": "https://scrutica.com/methodology",
    "license": "See https://scrutica.com/about for current license terms",
    "citation": "Scrutica (2026). IRGC missile range: exposure summary. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://scrutica.com/scenarios/iran-threat",
    "record_count": 1,
    "processing": "Interactive exposure modeling: Gulf compute infrastructure mapped against published IRGC missile range envelopes (CSIS) and regional air defense installations (IISS). Coordinates may represent approximate cloud regions. Attack probabilities, defense predictions and the former composite ranking are withheld.",
    "provenance_fields": {
      "is_estimated": "A per-record flag, set by the pipeline step that last wrote it, under that step’s own rule. True means that step judged the record estimated, on grounds that include a modeled, derived or inferred value, an unconfirmed record and a secondary source. False means no such judgment is recorded; it is not a verification. Read the flag with the record’s authority tier.",
      "data_source": "primary data source for this record",
      "source_url": "direct URL to the primary source, when available",
      "authority_tier": "reliability rating: 1=primary filing, 2=research DB, 3=press/analyst, 4=Scrutica-inferred, 5=unverified",
      "estimation_method": "how estimated values were derived (reported, hardware_derived, power_derived, cost_imputed, benchmark_inferred, cross_source_reconciled, editorial, aggregated)",
      "data_vintage": "when the underlying source data was originally produced (not when Scrutica accessed it)"
    },
    "data_sources": [
      {
        "name": "CSIS Missile Threat Project",
        "url": "https://missilethreat.csis.org/",
        "authority_tier": 2,
        "tier_label": "Research database (Epoch AI, CSET, etc.)"
      },
      {
        "name": "IISS Military Balance",
        "url": "https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance",
        "authority_tier": 1,
        "tier_label": "Primary filing (SEC, government, company disclosure)"
      },
      {
        "name": "Scrutica facilities register",
        "url": "/methodology",
        "authority_tier": 2,
        "tier_label": "Research database (Epoch AI, CSET, etc.)"
      }
    ]
  },
  "data": [
    {
      "assessment": "IRGC missile range",
      "threat": "14 held missile-system records",
      "region": "Gulf states, Israel, Turkey",
      "key_facilities": "AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, Stargate UAE",
      "data_source": "CSIS missile database, IISS air defense data"
    }
  ]
}