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# Sovereign AI Program Index — Dataset v2026.3
Scrutica

# Data & Citation

The packaged Scrutica datasets and how to cite them. Each bundle ships as a CSV with a paired JSON Schema, methodology Markdown, SHA-256 checksum, and Croissant JSON-LD descriptor; the Citation view carries the reuse forms for the datasets and for any number rendered on the site.

# Sovereign AI Program Index

Cite

Sovereign AI investment programs across roughly thirty jurisdictions, with announced / committed / disbursed spend stages and qualitative interdependence ratings (NVIDIA / TSMC / U.S. / BIS reach). The three funding stages are tracked separately because conflating them is the single most common source of inflation in sovereign-AI reporting.

Version **2026.3**·34 rows·Released 2026-07-17·License [CC-BY-4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)·SHA-256 19a19e3f91fa…

Download bundle

[CSVFlat data, UTF-8](/api/datasets/sovereign-ai-index/csv)[Data DictionaryColumn definitions](/api/datasets/sovereign-ai-index/data-dictionary.md)[JSON SchemaColumn types](/api/datasets/sovereign-ai-index/schema.json)[MethodologyMarkdown](/api/datasets/sovereign-ai-index/methodology.md)[Croissant JSON-LDMLCommons 1.0](/api/datasets/sovereign-ai-index/croissant.json)[SHA-256Integrity](/api/datasets/sovereign-ai-index/sha256)

Hosted mirrors

ZenodoDeposition pending — a versioned Zenodo record with a resolvable DOI is in preparation. Until it lands, cite by version, URL, SHA-256, and retrieval date.

Pending

Hugging FaceMirror pending — a Hugging Face dataset mirror is in preparation. The canonical download above is complete and hash-verifiable in the meantime.

Pending

Citation

Gringras, D., & Scrutica. (2026). Scrutica Sovereign AI Program Index (Version 2026.3) \[Data set\]. Zenodo. (DOI pending deposition)

BibTeXCopy BibTeX

@dataset{scrutica\_sovereign\_ai\_index\_2026\_3,
  author    = {Gringras, David and {Scrutica}},
  title     = {Scrutica Sovereign AI Program Index},
  year      = {2026},
  version   = {2026.3},
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  note      = {DOI pending Zenodo deposition; cite by version + SHA-256 hash from /datasets/sovereign-ai-index until assigned},
  url       = {https://scrutica.com/datasets/sovereign-ai-index}
}

Methodology

\# Scrutica Sovereign AI Program Index — v2026.3

\*\*Release date:\*\* 2026-07-17
\*\*License:\*\* CC-BY-4.0
\*\*Suggested citation:\*\* see \`CITATION\` block at the bottom.

## Coverage

34 sovereign AI investment programs across 34 jurisdictions. Each row carries three distinct funding stages — \`announced\_usd\`, \`committed\_usd\`, \`disbursed\_usd\` — because conflating them is the single most common source of the "$X billion sovereign AI" inflation pattern in trade press. \`announced\_govt\_only\_usd\` separates the government-pledged component from stacked private FDI pledges (Stargate, Cumulative Microsoft, etc.).

## Funding-stage definitions

- \*\*Announced\*\*: total publicly-attributed pledge, including private FDI partners. Inflation-prone.
- \*\*Committed\*\*: subset that has cleared legislative / board sign-off, where verifiable.
- \*\*Disbursed\*\*: subset that has actually been contracted / spent, where verifiable.

\`\*\_is\_estimated = true\` flags when the figure is analyst-assigned (e.g., a backed-out fraction of a stacked pledge).

## Interdependence scoring

Four qualitative axes (low / medium / high) describe each program's structural exposure:

- \`nvidia\_dependency\`: reliance on NVIDIA accelerators
- \`tsmc\_dependency\`: reliance on TSMC foundry capacity
- \`us\_dependency\`: reliance on U.S.-jurisdiction inputs (chips, tools, IP)
- \`bis\_jurisdiction\_reach\`: whether the program sits inside BIS Entity-List / FDPR reach

These are not numeric scores; they are analyst calls anchored on the published primary chips, partners, and supply-chain edges of the program. The qualitative ladder is preserved to surface uncertainty.

## Currency handling

\`currency\_of\_record\` records the native announcement currency. USD figures use the FX rate in \`fx\_rate\_used\` on \`fx\_rate\_date\` (with the source in \`fx\_rate\_source\`); we do not re-baseline historical announcements to a single year's USD purchasing-power index — the rate is the rate that turns the literal announcement into USD at announcement time.

## Refresh path

The upstream JSON (\`data/processed/sovereign\_programs.json\`) is curated against the program-page primary-source layer in the Scrutica platform; this dataset is regenerated by \`scripts/package-datasets.ts\`.

## Known limitations

- Some programs (e.g., Chinese provincial / military-aligned) have \`structural\_non\_disclosure = true\` — the announced figures should be read as floors, not actuals.
- Stacked pledges are flagged in \`key\_notes\` and broken out in the platform's \`/sovereign-ai\` decomposition view; the flat CSV preserves the stacked total in \`announced\_usd\`.
- The qualitative interdependence ratings are intended for triage, not for cross-program quantitative ranking.

## Citation

\`\`\`bibtex
@dataset{scrutica\_sovereign\_ai\_index\_2026\_3,
  author       = {Gringras, David and {Scrutica}},
  title        = {Scrutica Sovereign AI Program Index},
  year         = {2026},
  version      = {2026.3},
  publisher    = {Zenodo},
  note         = {DOI pending Zenodo deposition; cite by version + SHA-256 hash from /datasets/sovereign-ai-index until assigned},
  url          = {https://scrutica.com/datasets/sovereign-ai-index}
}
\`\`\`

See also

The interactive surface that consumes this dataset lives at [/sovereign-ai](/sovereign-ai); for the platform-wide data-provenance overview, see [/methodology](/methodology).

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[CC BY-SA 4.0·© 2026 Scrutica](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/ "Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0")

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